would happen if the United States decides to sell its new F-35 Lightning II fighter to Taiwan? The fictionalized scenario below, based on a careful analysis of the Chinese leadership, attempts to answer that question.

如果美国决定把F-35闪电II 战机卖给台湾的话会怎么样？跟据中国领导层的详细分析结果，我们接下来采用小说桥段来尝试回答这个问题。

March 2, 2017: A Taiwanese fighter jet on a routine patrol collides with a Chinese drone and crashes into the South China Sea; the pilot is killed. In response, the Republic of China Air Force, which for some time has been asking for upgraded planes, presses for a new arms package from America. Despite promising to maintain peace and stability in cross-Strait relations a little over a year ago in her victory speech, Tsai Ing-Wen, Taiwan’s president, is faced with growing pressure to respond strongly. A concerned Legislative Yuan authorizes major defense budget increases (overcoming budget difficulties) aimed at acquiring the F-35. Eager to signal that the rebalance she spearheaded in the Obama administration is returning in full force, newly elected president Hillary Clinton (following the advice of hawkish media commentators) directs the Defense Department to sell Taipei fifty F-35s. The sale is made, despite severe protestations from Beijing. How is a humiliated China likely to respond?

2017年3月2日：一架台湾的战斗机在例行巡航的时候与中国的无人机相碰被撞沉在南海，飞机上的飞行员也因此殉职。作为回应，之前已经多次要求战机升级的台湾空军强烈要求从美国家采购新式武器装备。尽管在胜选演讲时候承诺维持稳定的两岸关系的台湾领导人蔡英文面对越来越强的压力也不能不做出强势回应。台湾的立法院通过了增加国防预算采购装备F35战机的法案（克服财政困难）。（这件事情）强烈暗示了在强大的压力下，蔡英文重新当起了在奥黑政府时代亚太再平衡的先锋部队，新任美国总统希拉里·克灵顿（是按照鹰派媒体建议假设的）要求美国国防部对台湾出售五代战机F-35。尽管受到了中国的严正抗议，但是这笔买卖还是成交了。面对这样的耻辱，中国会做出如何反应呢？

Frank Blangeard ? 8 hours ago
The United States has been selling junk weapons to Taiwan for many years.

Frank Blangeard：这些年美国尽卖些垃圾武器给台湾。

WHOHE Frank Blangeard ? 7 hours ago
F-16's are junk? Shhhh, old man. Time for you to take your pills and go to bed.

WHOHE回复 Frank Blangeard：F16是垃圾？嘘~~~糟老头。是时候吃点药然后滚上床睡觉了。

Frank Blangeard WHOHE ? 7 hours ago
You are right ..it is time for bed. Already took my Haagen Dazs chocolate ice cream medication.

Frank Blangeard回复 WHOHE ：你说得对..是时候睡觉了。“哈根达斯巧克力口味冰淇淋”药物已经吃过了。

Sinbad2 Frank Blangeard ? an hour ago
Mmm.

Sinbad2回复 Frank Blangeard：嗯。

sanoran_t WHOHE ? 2 hours ago
Respect old age. Its your future.

sanoran_t回复WHOHE：对老人家放尊重点。你也会变老的。

PC Master Race sanoran_t ? an hour ago
If he's lucky enough to get there.

PC Master Race回复sanoran_t：如果他能幸运的撑到那时候的话。

Yang Ed Wren Nu Eagle ? an hour ago
China could not produce a military jet engine worthy of fighter jets even if their lives depended on it. This is why most of their advanced aircraft are powered by Russian jet engines.

Yang Ed Wren Nu 回复Eagle：虽然中国现在离不开对发动机的需求，但是中国并没有能力生产适合战机使用的军事发动机。这就是为什么他们大部分的先进战机采用俄罗斯的发动机的原因。

didactic1 Yang Ed Wren Nu ? 35 minutes ago
I'm sure one of our Navy pilots will be glad she has been shot down by a plane with a Russian engine instead of a Made in China engine. She can text Trump from Jail and tell him to negotiate a better deal with Russia too.

didactic1回复Yang Ed Wren Nu：我非常确定我们某个女飞行员非常高兴她是被一架装备俄罗斯发动机而不是中国发动机的飞机击落的。她可以在监狱里发短信给川普叫他和俄罗斯好好协商协商。

Marcus Aurelius ：F-35被当作“垃圾”来卖。
台湾空军要的是短距离起降/垂直起降机种F-35B型，但是他们连新款的F-16C/D战机都买不起，所以他们基本不可能购买先进的战机例如隐形飞机，这可是台湾的国防专家说的。
美国国会的愚蠢和自大会让你等很久的。
philippinefailblog.com回复Marcus Aurelius：我相信台湾买得起而且他们非常渴望购买新的F16C/D战机。然而，自里根时代后没有美国总统愿意对台销售新型战机来惹怒中国。