Two developments in the past month indicate that Washington’s mixed policy of engagement and containment (or “congagement”) toward China has begun to tilt more toward containment. The first development was the visit of Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter to India in mid-April and the signing of a bilateral cooperation agreement on military logistics. The other episode is President Obama’s just-completed trip to Vietnam and the announced lifting of the long-standing arms embargo on that country. As usual American officials insist that the marked change in U.S. policy toward Hanoi is not in any way directed against China. But such statements strain credulity especially when viewed in the larger context of U.S. warships conducting “freedom of navigation” patrols in the South China Sea and bluntly reminding Beijing of America’s security obligations to the Philippines under a bilateral defense treaty.

过去一个月来的两个事态发展表明，华盛顿对中国接触和遏制的这两个战略已开始向遏制倾斜。一个是国防部长艾什顿·卡特在四月中旬访问印度，并签署了在军事物流上的双边合作协议。另一个是奥巴马总统刚结束越南之旅，并宣布解除长期以来对越的武器禁运。像往常一样，美国政府坚持认为，这次对河内政策的显著变化不是以任何形式在针对中国。但此番说辞更加不能轻信，尤其是看到美国军舰在这个大背景下，打着“航行自由”的名号在中国南海巡逻，还直言提醒北京，在双边防御条约下，美国对菲律宾有安全保护的义务。

为何重演类似冷战时期针对苏联的围堵政策是很难实现的？很关键的原因就在于，当时美国和苏联的经济关系可以忽略不计，美国对莫斯科施展强硬手段不会让自己牺牲太大，而当今中国与美国联系之紧密，与前苏联不可同日而语。
don ottrack R26; 4 days ago
good thesis. in NBA nomenclature it is impossible to beat Michael Jordan's record. the MJ of Global Superpower is the British Empire which lasted a hundred years then faded out. the world has always been multi-polar. regional powers dominate their respective regions. US should focus resources at "home" "home" is the Americas (from Canada to Uruguay) and let the Europeans Asians Africans settle affairs of their own regions. if we don't even have the resources to fix our roads bridges water system veterans healthcare and you want $ to "contain" China "contain" Russia "contain" Iran "contain" (fill in the blank). this is INSANE!!

很好的论点。在NBA术语中，迈克尔乔丹的纪录不可攻破。全球超级大国中的迈克尔乔丹则是历经百年风光然后日落西山的大英帝国。世界一直是多极的。区域大国们主宰各自领域。美国应该把精力集中在“家”里。“家”是指美洲（从加拿大到乌拉圭），让欧洲人亚洲人非洲人处理他们自己地区的事情。如果我们甚至没有资源来解决我们的道路桥梁供水系统退伍军人医疗保健，而你还想要美刀去“包含”中国“牵制”俄罗斯“牵制”伊朗“牵制”（填空）。这是精神失常！！

Gnostic thesurvivor R26; 4 days ago
Save your apology for the Filipino fishermen.

把你的抱歉留给菲律宾渔民吧。

thesurvivor Gnostic R26; 4 days ago
If Philippines negotiate with China I am sure some kind of fishery agreement can be reached. Hope the new president does that. If they choose to be a US proxy hosting US gunboats then this is the situation we are in now.

如果菲律宾与中国谈判，我肯定他们能达成某种渔业协议。希望菲律宾的新总统能这么做。但如果他们选择做美国的出头鸟的话，就只好是目前这种状况了。
Gnostic thesurvivor R26; 4 days ago
So freedom of navigation is dependent on giving something to China.... Exactly my point. There is no freedom of navigation. This is why even Vietnam wants to be friends with the US. China lies don't change facts.

如此说来航运自由要靠送些东西给中国...我也是这么看的。没有什么航运自由，这就是为什么越南想要成为美国的朋友。中国的谎言无法改变事实。

thesurvivor Gnostic R26; 2 days ago
There are endless fishing disputes with in the water...Philippines vs Malaysia Malaysia vs Vietnam Indonesia vs Vietnam Philippines vs Indonesia.. U make it sounds so simple.

水域中又无穷无尽的渔业纠纷...菲律宾vs马来西亚 马来西亚vs越南 印尼vs越南 菲律宾vs印尼...图样图森破

dusjanbe Guest R26; 4 days ago
No problem by showing the true face it's better to deal with. Like the German or Japanese in the 20th century rearing their ugly ultranationlist face up for the whole world to see.

就算露出真面目也没关系，有利于更好地处理这些事。正如20世纪德国和日本向全世界展露出的极端种族主义分子丑恶的嘴脸。

If China get a Putin then he would end up Leopoldo Galtieri after several catastrophic millitary adventure he will be finnished anyway

如果中国产生了普京那样的领导人，那么他会像莱奥波尔多·加尔铁里那样经过几次灾难性的军事冒险后玩完。
Gnostic thesurvivor R26; 4 days ago
So freedom of navigation is dependent on giving something to China.... Exactly my point. There is no freedom of navigation. This is why even Vietnam wants to be friends with the US. China lies don't change facts.

如此说来航运自由要靠送些东西给中国...我也是这么看的。没有什么航运自由，这就是为什么越南想要成为美国的朋友。中国的谎言无法改变事实。

thesurvivor Gnostic R26; 2 days ago
There are endless fishing disputes with in the water...Philippines vs Malaysia Malaysia vs Vietnam Indonesia vs Vietnam Philippines vs Indonesia.. U make it sounds so simple.

水域中又无穷无尽的渔业纠纷...菲律宾vs马来西亚 马来西亚vs越南 印尼vs越南 菲律宾vs印尼...图样图森破

dusjanbe Guest R26; 4 days ago
No problem by showing the true face it's better to deal with. Like the German or Japanese in the 20th century rearing their ugly ultranationlist face up for the whole world to see.

就算露出真面目也没关系，有利于更好地处理这些事。正如20世纪德国和日本向全世界展露出的极端种族主义分子丑恶的嘴脸。

If China get a Putin then he would end up Leopoldo Galtieri after several catastrophic millitary adventure he will be finnished anyway

如果中国产生了普京那样的领导人，那么他会像莱奥波尔多·加尔铁里那样经过几次灾难性的军事冒险后玩完。Saron Pos RT Myths Debunked R26; 5 days ago
Very simple. US ships needs ram china's boats trying to build on south china seas. china must NOT be allowed to build on south china seas. The US is not willing to ram their boats. China often ram other nations' fishing boats and sank Vietnamese phillippines Taiwanese fishing boats and drive them away. But the US is not willing to ram china boats. Thus china is building and expanding.

很简单。美国需要猛撞那些试图建设南海的中国船只。绝不允许中国在南海造岛。美国不愿意撞他们的船。中国经常猛撞其他国家的渔船，把越南、菲律宾和台湾的渔船撞沉，并把渔民赶跑。但是美国不愿意撞中国的船，所以中国不断建设并扩张。

The U.S. isn't building artificial real estate and/or ramming Chinese ships because it's not trying to start a fight but the U.S. will only be pushed so far before it pushes back - hard.

美国没有建立人工岛和（或）冲撞中国船只，因为她不想开战。但是不要把美国给惹毛了，否则美国绝对用力回击。

Let's just hope it doesn't take an attack upon a carrier with 6000 Americans onboard to finally wake up the U.S.

现在我们只希望中国不要攻击一艘载有6000名美国人的航母来警醒美国。