LONDON: The outlook for the global economy next year is darkening, with a US recession and China becoming the first major emerging market to slash interest rates to zero both potential scenarios, according to Citi.

As the US economy enters its seventh year of expansion following the 2008-09 crisis, the probability of recession will reach 65 per cent, Citi’s rates strategists wrote in their 2016 outlook published late on Tuesday. A rapid flattening of the bond yield curve towards inversion would be an key warning sign.

“The cumulative probability of US recession reaches 65 percent next year,” Citi’s rates strategists wrote in their 2016 outlook published late on Tuesday. “Curve inversion will likely come more quickly than the consensus thinks.”

花旗集团说，明年全球经济展望黯淡无光，美国面临衰退，中国会成为第一个利息为零的大型新兴市场。

继2008-09年经济危机以来，美国经济进入第7个扩张年份，衰退的可能性将达到65%，花旗集团的利率策略师在周二发布的2016年展望上写道。

美国衰退的累积概率明年会达到65%，花旗集团的利率策略师在周二发布的2016年展望上写道， 反转曲线可能会比大家所想的更快。

Seems the future is not that rosy.
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似乎未来不那么美好

 

Tadala SN Murthy (Hyderabad, India)
Are we going to see a financial war between China & USA ?
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我们是否将要看到中国和美国之间的金融战争

 

A S. Mathew (U.S.A.)

The whole world economy is in a stagnation, mess and some countries are sliding towards serious recession. How, the largest and richest country of South America America, Brazil and other countries are affected now? The oil and natural gas producing countries are going feel very tight budgeting problem, thus massive lay offs and salary reduction.
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全世界经济都处于停滞中。

某些国家滑向严重衰退

南美最大最富的国家巴西是如何受影响的？

产油国要收紧预算了，大规模裁员，还有减薪

 

Nam Singh (Unknown)
Doomsday scenario being painted yet again!!
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末日局面再次被描画！

 

()

We are in recession too All our grocery prices are very This diwali no one bought huge quantities of gold Inspite of low interest rates no one bought property People are pooling their money in banks n equities pnthis hope in ten years we will makemoney Safe currency will be dollar only
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我们也处于衰退中，食品杂货店的东西卖得很贵

今年排灯节，尽管利息低，还是看不到有谁大量购买黄金，也没有人买房。

人们把钱存在银行

 

TheReader ()
omg!… another recession so fast…
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又一场衰退来得如此迅速

 

Truth Sach (Udupi)

Outlook is not certain but possible..Chinese zero rate interest is going to be question mark.
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展望只是可能，并非确定。中国是否会利息降为零是个问号

 

Kalyan Kumar (Asansol)
Both unlikely next year.
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两个都不大可能

 

Chirag Gupta (delhi)
Recession in China will impact the other emerging markets of Asia as China will focus on to Export Recession by exporting commodities at lower price. Govt Should emphasize on it
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中国衰退会影响亚洲的其他新兴市场，中国会降低出口商品的价格，把衰退输出去

 

Deepak Dk (Huderabad)
certainly bad news for the whole world
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对全世界肯定是坏消息

 

Arvind ()

Recession, Deflation, Currency War, trade war and then World War. They happen in that sequence.
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经济衰退、通货膨胀、货币战争、贸易战争和世界大战，这些会一连串发生的

 

Pun Lko (lko)
very bad times
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非常糟糕的时期

 

Valid Sach (Unknown)
US recession and then zero interest rate in China are the probabilities but not 100% possibilities.
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美国衰退和中国零利息是可能的，但不是100%肯定